[Excerpted from Wall Street Journal, August 12, 1999, p. A-22]
Gerber recently announced that
henceforth its baby foods will be free from genetically modified crops --
and will be organically grown to boot. Then the Environmental
Protection Agency announced that it was banning a major pesticide,
methyl parathion, that has been used in fruit and vegetable production
for decades.
Upscale homemakers across
the land are no doubt rejoicing over the additional "food safety"
for their families. Unfortunately,
the real-world results are
likely to be more cancer and less wildlife habitat.
When I joined the U.S.
Department of Agriculture in 1959, the world feared a billion
Third World people would die in famines. Then came the Green
Revolution, and Norman Borlaug was awarded the 1970 Nobel Peace
Prize for giving most of humanity its first real food security.
Now we're ready to turn our backs on both food security and
wildland conservation -- to eliminate food risks we can't even
find.
Thanks to the Green
Revolution, the only famines in recent decades have been those
caused by governmental policies such as Mao Tse-tung's "Green
Leap Forward" in China and civil wars in Africa. Increased
food security is a major reason why the world's population
is now projected to stabilize at 8.5 billion in 2035, instead
of spiraling upward. We've fed the Third World so well that
young couples now believe their children will live to maturity
and they stop after two or three babies instead of six or 16.
The second-biggest achievement
of the Green Revolution is saving wildlands with higher yields.
We're currently feeding more than twice as many people as lived
in 1950, and doing it from essentially the same 37% of the
planet's land area that we farmed in 1950.
Higher crop yields have
saved more than 15 million square miles of wildlife habitat
from being plowed for low-yield traditional farming. That's
equal to the total land area of the U.S., Europe and South America.
We got those higher yields with hybrid seeds, irrigation, chemical
fertilizer and pesticides.
The first impact of a global
mandate for organic farming would be the plow-down of five million
to 10 million square miles of wildlife habitat, much of it in the
densely populated tropics, which have perhaps 100 times as many
wild species per square mile as the U.S. or Europe. Not only do
organic crops suffer more pest losses but organic farmers refuse
to fertilize with nitrogen taken from the air. They would have to
plow down the equivalent of the whole U.S. land area for green-manure
crops like clover.
There is no vegetarian
trend to ease the world's impending agricultural burden. Instead,
higher incomes are driving the biggest surve of meat and milk
consumption the Third World has ever seen. To save the current
wildlands despite the larger, more affluent population in the next
century, we will have to triple the yields on the land we're
already farming. We will probably have to triple the use of
pesticides as well (particularly of herbicides, which help cut
soil erosion with no-plow, low-erosion farming systems.) We
will also need more biotech breakthroughs like the new high-yield
crops for acidic tropic soils recently pioneered in Mexico.
Do pesticide residues cause cancer? We've added 30 years to our
lifespans in the 20th century, eight of them since we started
spraying pesticides widely. Cancer experts say our real cancer
risks are smoking, too much fat, too few fruits and vegetables --
and the genetic cancer tendencies inherited from our own families.
After billions of dollars spent trying, not one pesticide-residue
cancer victim has been found.
Mythyl parathion is
unquestionably a deadly chemical -- if you walk into the
cloud of gas just sprayed on a field of crops. But it effectively
kills the bugs that love to eat growing fruits and vegetables; and
plentiful fruits and vegetables prevent cancer. The quarter of
our population that eats the most produce has half the cancer
risk of the quarter that eats the least. And it makes no
difference whether these fruits and vegetables were growing using
pesticides.
President Clinton just awarded
the National Science Medal to Bruce Ames of the University of
California, Berkeley. Mr. Ames says we get 10,000 times more
cancer risk from the natural chemicals in our fruits and vegetables
than from pesticide residues. In neither case is there enough
dosage to cause cancer.
For decades, methyl
parathion and other organophosphates were rated "safe for use"
with a safety factor 100 times the "non effect" levels in the
rat tests. In 1996, however, the Food Quality Protection Act
allowed the EPA to plus in a 1,000-fold safety factor. This,
despite no evidence that any consumers had been hurt by pesticides.
Will we now be safer?
Jacqueline Hamilton of the Natural Resources Defense Council says,
"We don't have to point to bodies lying on the ground with
their tongues hanging out. There is significant evidence that much
lower levels of these chemicals, at critical levels of development,
can cause lifelong deficients, potentially." There you have it,
folks, modern environmentalism is protection you -- potentially.
We know for certain that
we can save millions of square miles of wildlands by using
pesticides, fertilizers, biotechnology, and the other tools of our
expanding scientific knowledge for high-yield agriculture and forestry.
Humanity in the 21st century can banish hunger, end nutritional deficits
in its children -- and save virtually all of the remaining wildlands
in the process. But there are only two ways to do it: either murder
four billion people, or use chemicals and biotechnology to triple
the yields on the land we're already farming.
Mr. Dennis T. Avery
is director of the Center for Global Food Issues of
the Hudson Institute and the author of
Saving
the Planet With Pesticides and Plastic:
The Environmental Triumph of High-Yield Farming.
(Hudson Institute, 1995)